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Thursday, 10 October 2013
Analyst Meet / AGM - Analyst Meet-->Gujarat Gas
Analyst Meet / AGM - Analyst Meet
Gujarat Gas
(10-Sep-2013 , 11:24 Hours IST)
The company held its Analyst meet on 6th Sep'13 and was addressed by Mr. Sugata Sircar Managing DirectorKey highlights
Gujarat
Gas currently distributes about 2.8 mmscmd of gas to about 4 lakh
industrial, commercial and domestic customers through its pipeline
network and CNG to over 2 lakh vehicles through 56 retail outlets.
About
50% of gas is sourced domestically, PMT source being the major
contributor and rests are imports in form of RLNG. Most of the domestic
source of gas is being sourced at fixed price of gas of about US $ 6 and
this will remain till 2019. Any revision of KG gas on April'14 will
also not affect the company.
Currently, from PMT
source, the company receives about 1.3-mmscmd gas. The volume is
expected to be lower by 10% by the end of CY'13. BY 2019, the volume
from PMT will be zero, this is what has been contracted and the PMT
stream is also depleting.
Company averages out the
price of gas i.e. domestic and the landed costs of PMT and thereby
charges to all its customers a weighted average price of gas. The gas
price due to increase in contribution from RLNG and Re depreciation, was
increased by 4 times in CY'12 and also price revision was done in Q1
and Q1 CY'13 as well. In Q2 CY'13, due to sudden fall in RLNG prices on
y.o.y basis, the margins got a spurt. Almost all the RLNG requirements,
is sourced by the company on spot basis.
Of the total
sales of gas volume, about 75% goes to industrial customers, 15% to CNG
and rest are domestic, commercial and PNG customers. Within the
industrial customers, about 50% belong to agro/chemicals/Pharma
industry, 20% are from textile clothing industry, 12% from glass and
ceramics, 11% from yarn and 6% from engineering and other industry.
Since
the landed costs of RLNG overall is increasing, the weighted average
costs of the gas at which the company sells, also increased. While this
generally is not affecting the liquid fuel replacement (LFR) market,
which constitutes nearly 60% of total industrial customers of the
company, the others have cheaper source of grid power available to them.
As per the management, the share of these LFR market
will increase within the overall industrial customers. Also as per the
management, the worst in terms of lower off take of volumes from
customers is behind them and after few quarters of consolidation and may
be slight dip, volumes will come back.
Also the
slowdown in economy and uncertainties related to it, affect the
industrial customers output and thus the usage of volume of gas. If the
economy recovers, the gas will be utilized irrespective of the price,
given the uncertainty related to other source of power.
Going
forward, in terms of gas availability, for few quarters, RLNG is the
only source. Company also has signed an MOU with GSPC for gas, but more
clarity will emerge only in Mar'14 after that. Also EGOM will determine
the final status of GSPC gas.
On regulatory aspect,
company's 8979 sq km of Surat-Bharuch-Ankleshwar pipeline has already
received approval and exclusivity till Nov'15 from PNGRB and thereafter
fresh tariff proposal will be required to be submitted. 73 km of
Hazira-Ankleshwar pipeline also received the transmission rights
approval from PNGRB however; tariff approval is yet to be received. The
company already has applied for Bhavnagar pipeline distribution rights,
and is yet to receive the approval from PNGRB.
In CY'12, the company did a capex of Rs 195 crore and for CY'13; capex target stands at Rs 160 crore.
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