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Monday, 29 July 2013

CURRENCY & MCX VIEW WITH GOLD SILVER NG CRUDE OIL WEEKLY CHART


India Rupee Completes Third Weekly Gain After RBI Tightens Cash
India’s rupee completed its third weekly gain, the longest winning streak since February, after the central bank tightened the supply of cash to arrest a slide in the currency.
The Reserve Bank of India has raised two interest rates and restricted lenders’ access to funds in the past two weeks, pushing the benchmark 10-year bond yield to a 14-month high and leading to debt-sale failures. The rupee advanced 0.5 percent this week to 59.0425 per dollar in Mumbai. The currency, which plunged to an unprecedented 61.2125 on July 8, rose 0.1 percent today and touched 58.7025, the strongest level since June 19.
RBI Steps
Global funds have cut holdings of Indian debt by $9 billion since May 22, when the Federal Reserve first signaled it could curb asset purchases that have boosted demand for emerging-market assets.
The RBI capped the amount lenders can borrow in daily repurchase auctions at 0.5 percent of their deposits, it said in a July 23 statement. The authority also raised the daily balance requirement for lenders’ cash-reserve ratios to 99 percent from 70 percent effective July 27. The moves follow steps announced July
15, when the RBI raised its bank rate and marginal standing facility rate to 10.25 percent from 8.25 percent. It left the main repurchase rate unchanged as the economy grows at the slowest pace in a decade.
One-month implied volatility, a measure of expected moves in the exchange rate used to price options, fell 15 basis points, or 0.15 percentage point, this week to 11.65 percent
Three-month onshore rupee forwards were little changed today at 60.60 per dollar, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Offshore non-deliverable contracts were steady at 60.40. Forwards are agreements to buy or sell assets at a set price and date. Non-deliverable contracts are settled in dollars

mcx-gold

See above MCX Gold chart, it’s looking upward for few days but downward movement will start very shortly and come back @ 25481 [Step by Step: 27290 - 26650 - 26286 - 25815]. Remember, Gold last stop station is 28132 level. If MCX Gold close above this level then we’ll see 28750 – 29298 – 29800

mcx-silver 

40452 level is very dangerous for buyers because once close below then it will crush non-stop and touch 39915 – 39482 – 38981 below. But I am very glad to inform you, it trend is looking upward and targets 416466 – 41806 – 42106 – 42437 above.

mcx-crude-oil 

Crude oil trend is totally downside and definitely it’ll touch 6116 – 6072 – 6011 – 5936 levels but remember stoploss role is very important because if it touch Our stoploss then result will be inverse and touch 6311 – 6391+.

mcx-natural-gas 

Natural gas may crush and touch 208 to 205 but overall trend it up. It will kiss again 221 level soon. Remember, if you don’t have technical advisory then hire first and follow because Natural gas is very risky. Anyway, my Students & clients …don’t worry, I am here